Counterculture Con HQ

March 27, 2010

A Crude Awakening

Have you ever wondered what will happen when all the world’s oil supplies run out?  Peak Oil is fast approaching.  That is the moment when the amount of oil we are able to extract from the ground begins to decline, even as the supply for that oil continues to rise.  That effectively ends the era of cheap oil, and life as we know it begins to change; beginning with 1) economic shocks the likes of which make our current one seem like a piker because these depressions will be imposed by nature rather than by a speculative bubble; 2) global wars to secure that diminishing resource, followed by 3) drastic reductions in standards of living, and finally 4) massive die-offs of the world’s population as our industrial civilization slowly but inexorably grinds to a standstill.  Can we find an alternative resource to replace oil and avert this catastrophe?

Hydrogen is off the table as that technology is another 30-50 years away.  To replace fossil fuels with solar, we’d need a solar panel half the size of California.  To replace fossil fuels with nuclear, we’d have to build 10,000 new plants, and the world’s uranium supply would become exhausted in 10-15 years.  Biofuels?  You’re looking at mass starvation as arable land used to grow food is transferred to energy production.  And if we do discover a suitable alternative, the question is will that discovery come in time to avert catastrophe?  And just as importantly, will we have enough time to retool our entire civilization to that new energy source?  I don’t know.  My faith remains in the God of the Bible.  But frankly, the future looks like shyte from where I’m standing.  Yet as always, you be the judge.  I am more than happy to be debunked on this one.  I hope I’m wrong.  Unfortunately, the facts appear to be on my side.  Will your grandchildren or great-grandchildren ever ride on an airplane?  The answer might very well be no.

Oil Production to Peak in 2014, Scientists Predict

Predicting the end of oil has proven tricky and often controversial, but Kuwaiti scientists now say that global oil production will peak in 2014. Their work represents an updated version of the famous Hubbert model, which correctly predicted in 1956 that U.S. oil reserves would peak within 20 years. Many researchers have since tried using the model to predict when worldwide oil production might peak.

[…]

“Not one in a hundred people in our country have even an inkling of the problem we are facing.

“The world has now exceeded sustainable peak supply.”

“We are looking at multi-generational resource wars.”

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

Part 5

Part 6

Part 7

Part 8

Part 9

H/T: paleocon


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2 Comments »

  1. We need to adapt. Take a look at this article The Great Transition: http://www.scribd.com/doc/21656220/The-Great-Transition-Navigating-Social-Economic-Ecological-Change-in-Turbulent-Times

    Comment by greenhalo — March 27, 2010 @ 12:52

  2. I like horses.

    Comment by greyrooster — March 30, 2010 @ 06:32


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